The main event:
WW J. Shields (26-5-1) vs. J. Ellenberger (24-5): -190 for Shields, +155 for Ellenberger. Though Shields comes in the favourite after coming off a loss to the current MW champ (GSP), the recent passing of his father and manager might negatively impact his performance against Ellenberger. This will be a real test of character, as the UFC didn’t throw Shields the proverbial bone by picking Ellenberger, who stopped his rivals 21 times in his last 25 outings before the 15-minute mark. Ellenberger by stoppage in the third. 
MW bout between Court McGee (13-1, TUF 11 winner) and Dongi Yang (10-1): -175 McGee to Yang’s +145. Looks right. McGee’s grappling will make for a quick submission, but he’ll have to dodge Yang’s fists as he gets to the mat first. But he’ll get there.
FW clash between Jonathan Brookins (12-3, TUF 12 winner) and Erik Koch (12-1): -200 Koch, +160 Brookins. A lot of respect shown to Brookins’ grit in those lines, but they reflect fairly accurately the outcome of this exciting tilt. The expected headline in tomorrow’s Sunday MMAJunkie edition reads “TUF winner uses straw for the next few months”. Koch’s striking will prove overwhelming.
The first televised bout will pit MW Alan Belcher (16-6) against Canuck Jason MacDonald (25-14): -300 for Belcher, +220 for MacDonald. This fight might be MacDonald’s last in the promotion. Notwithstanding the fact MacDonald has been put in this situation before, it doesn’t exclude the possibility that this time his number might be up. For real.
Lines by betus.com
Pic from Sherdog.com. No kidding.
